Core Measures of Inflation as Predictors of Total Inflation
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
A Comparison of Measures of Core Inflation
entral banks differ in their specific inflation objectives and conduct of policy. However, they typically confront the common problem of identifying which price changes are permanent and which are transitory. Because of the lagged effects of monetary policy, mistaking the nature of price changes can be extremely costly. For example, the failure to detect the onset of inflationary pressures may ...
متن کاملMeasures of core inflation in Korea
Meanwhile, having generally enjoyed low and stable prices since the early 2000s, most of the key economies in the world are now going through the final phase of a boom and bust cycle in asset (housing) prices based upon liquidity expansion, owing to sustained low interest rates and financial market innovations such as derivatives. In this regard, the argument may be put forward that monetary po...
متن کاملInflation forecasts and core inflation measures: Where is the information on future inflation? ¬リニ
This paper brings together several strands of the inflation literature. Specifically, this paper uses the forecast from a random walk model of inflation as a benchmark to test and compare the forecast performance of several alternatives including the Greenbook forecast by the Fed staff, the Survey of Professional Forecasters median forecast, lagged CPI inflation minus food and energy, lagged CP...
متن کاملPce Inflation and Core Inflation
This paper investigates the forecasting accuracy of the trimmed mean inflation rate of the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) deflator. Earlier works have examined the forecasting ability of limited-influence estimators (trimmed means and the weighted median) of the Consumer Price Index but none have compared the weighted median and trimmed mean of the PCE. Also addressed is the systematic ...
متن کاملDo core inflation measures help forecast inflation? Out-of-sample evidence from French data
This paper compares the ability of four indicators of underlying or ‘core’ inflation to forecast inflation in the French case. Though most indicators Granger-cause inflation, results from out of sample tests of forecast accuracy are less compelling. The results nevertheless seem to give some empirical support to trimmed mean indicators. 2000 Elsevier Science S.A. All rights reserved.
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 2008
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1138007